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Sporttrade’s Struggles Highlight Challenges for Prediction Markets

written by I. Nelson Rose
©2026

The Capitol Forum recently published an article examining the difficulties Sporttrade has faced trying to operate an exchange-style sports prediction platform under existing state gambling laws.

Sporttrade was created to allow users to buy and sell contracts on the outcomes of sporting events, similar to how traders interact on financial exchanges. But bringing that model into the highly regulated U.S. sports betting market has proven difficult.

The company spent years working with state regulators and pursuing licenses across the country. After significant lobbying and compliance costs, it ultimately secured approval in only five states and operates a much more limited version of its original concept.

The article also highlights the growing tension between state gambling regulators and federally regulated prediction markets like Kalshi, which have taken a different approach by seeking oversight through the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

I was quoted in the article discussing the difficulty new competitors face entering a sports betting market already dominated by large operators.

Read the full article here:
https://thecapitolforum.com/sporttrade-prediction-platforms-struggles-to-operate/

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