Fraud Alert: A website called “UnlimitedPenalty.com” is falsely using Professor I. Nelson Rose’s name. He has no affiliation with that site or any linked gambling platforms. Authorities have been notified. Learn More

Did Insiders Bet on War with Iran?

Insider trading is illegal – in securities trading and regulated sports betting.  But it is actually one of the advantages that futures markets have over more conventional predictors.  If you want to know what is going to happen, give the opportunity to make big bets...
Kalshi Buys More Time

Kalshi Buys More Time

On February 19, 2026, Kalshi removed to federal court the lawsuit filed against it in state court by the state of Nevada.  This prevents the state judge from issuing a temporary restraining order (“TRO”), which would have prohibited Kalshi from taking bets/trades from...
Predicting the Future of Prediction Markets

Predicting the Future of Prediction Markets

The biggest news in sports betting circles, or, if you believe the prediction markets operators, “commodities trading,” is Kalshi getting kicked out of Massachusetts. State Superior Court Justice Christopher K. Barry-Smith issued a preliminary injunction on January...